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Expect Rate Cuts, Not Recession: Fund Managers Most Bullish On Stocks In Over 2 Years
Most investors do not expect a recession in the next 12 months.
That’s according to the latest Global Fund Manager Survey (FMS) conducted by Bank of America. The report, released Tuesday, shows optimism in the stock market at its highest level since November 2021 buoyed by expectations that inflation will decrease and short-term interest rates will get cut.
“Our broadest measure of FMS sentiment, based on cash levels, equity allocation, and economic growth expectations, rose to 6.0 from 5.8, and a low of 0.3 in [October 2022],” the report stated.
The survey, led by the firm’s chief investment strategist Michael Hartnett, sourced commentary from over 200 financial experts, including portfolio managers, analysts, economists, and chief investment officers. The results highlight significant shifts in market sentiment and asset allocation.
Their bullish attitude is likely buoyed by rising expectations that interest rates will soon get cut.
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BofA April Global FMS: Key Insights
64% of investors do not expect a recession in the next 12 months.
For those that do, 19% expect it to occur in the first half of 2025,
Just 14% expect a recession sometime in 2024.
On the global economy, 78% of FMS investors say a recession is “unlikely” within the next 12 months, in line with last month’s expectations.
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